With the climate change conference coming up in Paris next month, one event that has gotten little coverage in the U.S. press but could have wide implications. News.com.au reports Australian electrical engineer Dr. David Evans has discovered, while the physics on which they are based is correct, climate models used by IPCC climate scientists to predict climate sensitivity have been applied incorrectly.
Dr. Evans has six degrees in applied mathematics and was a climate modeler for the Australian Government’s Greenhouse Office. When he discovered the IPCC climate models were being applied incorrectly Dr. Evans found two errors in them that reveal the Earth’s climate sensitivity to carbon dioxide (CO2) was lower than was previously concluded. The UN agency was over estimating future global warming by as much as ten times. The climate models even failed to predict the pause which has been occurring for the past 18 years.
“The model architecture was wrong,” he says. “Carbon dioxide causes only minor warming. The climate is largely driven by factors outside our control.”
There is another problem with the original climate model, which has been around since 1896.
While climate scientists have been predicting since the 1990s that changes in temperature would follow changes in carbon dioxide, the records over the past half million years show that not to be the case.
So, the new improved climate model shows CO2 is not the culprit in recent global warming. But what is?
Dr Evans has a theory: solar activity. What he calls “albedo modulation”, the waxing and waning of reflected radiation from the Sun, is the likely cause of global warming.
Unfortunately, the issue of climate change has been the result of politics almost from the beginning and this new development will probably be overlooked or scuttled for the Paris conference next month. Environmentalist groups obviously got assistance or enlisted the help of like-minded scientists in order to attempt to make the issue out to be that humans are the cause. The same way as was done in Europe in an attempt to ban or regulate neonicotinoid pesticides claiming insecticides caused bee populations to die off when, in fact, they never were. It did not help climate alarmists that they instead decided to resort of spokespersons like Al Gore who used the issue to make money, or scientists, like Michael Mann, who would conduct sloppy research or, in this case, attempt to change certain aspects of their studies in order to make them fit the theory.